Thursday, July 3, 2014

World Cup Quarter Finals 2014

We are looking at a very open World Cup this time around. The round of 16 games in my opinon were very disappointing. The goal average dropped significantly and late scoring was very prevalent. I'm not saying there wasn't drama, just that most of it came late in games, and the tight matches may continue in the Quarter finals, where surely the tension for players becomes even more palpable. Strangely the renowned big gun teams are not firing as they should be, yet they still find themselves in serious contention for the crown. My feeling is that we may be looking at a first time winner this year, and very likely a first time European win on South American soil.


France vs Germany;

France. I have to confess that I haven't seen a full game that they have played yet, but results speak for themselves. They flogged Switzerland 5-2 yet the Swiss took Argentina all the way. A unified French team is a difficult team to beat and they have a World Cup winner at the helm in Didier Deschamps. They have been playing good Football for some time now and the 6-0 whitewash of the Socceroos last year in a friendly was ample evidence of that. They have serious depth in their squad, and so far have had a fairly cruisy time of it in this tournament, having most of their games won fairly early on in the piece, and are yet to go to extra time. They will be fresher than their opponent coming into this (important given the heat and humidity), and will be high in confidence.

Germany are always incredibly hard to beat in World Cup games, but I'm not sure that they are playing as well as they need to be. They struggled to beat Algeria to get to the Quarter finals and although their entry to the knockout stage was never really in doubt they didn't quite impress as much as expected. They haven't won a major tournament at Senior level in the new millennium, and whilst they might be due, it might also be a sign that their soccer super power status is starting to wane. Coach Joachim Loew needs to find a spark somewhere amongst his ranks, and soon, though he does have a bonefide star in his team called Thomas Muller. What a player this guy is! A prolific goal scorer from midfield in the past, he is now doing the same playing as a centre forward. He gets through an unbelievable amount of work, and is capable of catapulting this team into the final with his endeavours.

The latest word is there is a bit of sickness around the German camp (Flu supposedly). Even not being aware of that I really do favour France to win this one, but not overly confident it will be in normal time. You would think the longer the game goes on the better chance they will have (excepting panalties!), given they finished their match in normal time as opposed to Germany, who had to play extra time in their round of 16 encounter.
France to progress.




Brazil vs Colombia

Brazil have largely failed to flatter in this tournament and appear to be a shadow of the team that won the Confederations Cup in Brazil last year. I find that a bit odd because we have the same players running around with only Neymar is performing at a consistently high level. And by the end of 120 minutes against Chile he looked absolutely shot to pieces physically. Quite amazing he was able to stand up and deliver a decent penalty which helped his team progress. Hulk showed signs of coming good in that last match against Chile which is a positive, and just maybe the penalty shootout last time out will have been the wake up call the whole team needs to go on with the job.
A defeat  would be deemed unacceptable to their own population, so the pressure is well and truly an issue. On the plus side they are playing at home in a Quarter final and can channel the vocal support inside the stadium into a positive energy.

Colombia are probably the best Footballing side (from a purists point of view) left in the tournament. If there was a best team in the sense of up an coming players, this is it. And they are without their main striker Rademal Falcao who was expected to be vying for top scorer in this tournament, had he not been seriously injured before it even started.  Similarly to France this Colombian side find themselves in a Quarter final having expended far less emotional and physical energy (easier transition through Group, easier round 16 match) than their opponents. James Rodriguez can do no wrong right now and another goal or 2 here would make him almost a shoe in for the Golden Boot (what a great turn of phrase!). 
It is significant that their coach is Jose Pekerman because he also managed the Argentinian 2006 World Cup squad. For mine they were far and away the most attractive team to watch in that tournament, and to this day I am still amazed they didn't go on to win the trophy, especially given their dominance over the host nation Germany for the majority of their Quarter Final clash. Somehow they managed to lose that match on penalties. Once again Pekerman finds himself at the helm of a super ' Footballing' side facing the hosts in a Quarter final. But he is Argentinian and would probably like nothing more than beating the arch enemy to make a semi final in Brazil The worry for mine is why on earth Colombia sat back and invited pressure against Uruguay in the last 20 minutes of their round of 16 clash. They should have been more positive given the talent they have on display, and were perhaps a bit lucky not to concede late, which would have made things interesting. If they are going to be tentative in this match they will be made to pay I suspect. On the positive side they showed they could soak up pressure defensively for 20 minutes, which could augur well for them in this match.

I don't think there is a lot in this matchup but purely on what I have seen I do lean the way of Colombia. They are the ' new kids on the block' and look like they are here to stay, yet to be fully tested, and still appear to have a lot in reserve. They also have some phenomenol crowd support, so Brazil won't have a mortgage in that area. Colombia to progress but it might not be in regular time.


Argentina vs Belgium

Argentina are not looking like an obvious World Cup winner to me. They might be a better drilled side than the 2010 edition coached by Diego Maradona, but they are not a patch on the excellent footballing side that graced the 2006 tournament in Germany, where they got to this stage before bowing out to the hosts. What they do have though is one Lionel Messi and several other top grade players who could start to make their presence felt in the 2nd half of this tournament. Their defence is a concern, and the goalkeeper looks suspect which is why it is so hard to see them winning the title this time around. Tomorrow they face a miserly Belgian defence, whereas against Switzerland pre game it would have seemed a goal feast was plausible. Switzerland did come into that game off a convincing win though and had their tails up a bit. The 2 goals they scored late against France wouldn't have hurt the confidence either, albeit still a thrashing in that match 2-5. Getting a late win against that Swiss team won't hurt the confidence of the Argentinians who will probably fancy their chances of going all the way.

Belgium have made it this far which hasn't surprised anyone in reality. I've got to say I expected to see a much more potent and attractive outfit than what has been on display though. They were never really going to get beat against the US but failed to put a very 'flat' team to the sword in regular time. They missed chance after chance that day and will be coming up against a far more formidable outfit here, maybe not defensively, but certainly in  other areas of the pitch.
Romelu Lakaku could be their big hope. After falling out with the coach early on he was the one player to make a difference against the US coming on in Extra time. Surely had he played from the start Belgium would have finished that game off a lot earlier? How pivotal could his absence in that game have been, given they were taken to extra time and are now not as fresh? A sense of Dejavu here too because Belgium met Argentina in the semi finals in 1986, only to be hunted down by Maradona. This time their nemesis is likely to be another champion player in Lionel Messi. On the other hand revenge might be sweet!

I'm expecting this to be another tight encounter that just might go to extra time. Like the 2 games preceding it there is no way you can be overly confident of a prediction. I just think Argentina might edge it with Messi in their sid,e and they do look to have a more potent attacking force. If Belgium had been as impressive in that regard coming in to this game I would be leaning their way, but unless Lukaku can steal the limelight here I think Argentina will progress.


Netherlands vs Costa Rica

This looks to be the 'gimmee' game of the Quarter Final round, not just on reputation but merely on the 'mechanic's of how both teams have arrived here.

Netherlands looked to be in a lot of trouble deep into their game against a cagey Mexican outfit, who from memory didn't get into the Dutch penalty area throughout the whole match. Despite that they were able to shock the Dutch with a long range shot, and looked like they could shut out the Europeans until their defensive resolve was broken twice late on. That is the admirable thing about this Dutch team. On 3 occasions out of their 4 World cup matches this tournament they have come from behind to win. No other team has had to show that resolve yet, and when they have needed to come up with the goods they have done so with some ease. Tactically they have had to adjust in every game, and done so admirably. Substitutes have been utilised to maximum advantage and they have 3 or 4 game breakers to call on if required. Robben has run rampant all tournament and although Van Persie didn't have his best game against Mexico he is a relatively fresh player, having missed the game against Chile & he was taken off late last time. Young Memphis Depay is yet to fully realise his potential but is very capable of doing so from this point and Coach Van Gaal might be acutely aware of that. Right now the Dutch look to be the team to beat in the tournament, and this looks to be their easiest assignment yet given their opposition toiled for 120 minutes in their round of 16 clash.

Costa Rica have exceeded all expectation. They got through a very tough Group but that did seem to show against Greece in their last match. It was a poor spectacle in realiaty though not without late drama. The Dutch look a far sterner outfit to overcome and I just can't seem them doing it. The biggest thing in their favour might be they have very little to lose, and generally teams in that category play with a lot more freedom and can express themselves. Whether they will have the energy necessary to do so is the big question mark here. So much of that has already been used up against players with arguably more class, and at this stage of the tournament it is very likely to be a decisive factor that their opposition can expose.

Netherlands should win this one within the 90 minutes. If they can't do that then my opinion of them is grossly inflated. I'm not expecting that to be the case.

So summing up my Semi Final Matchups would be;

France vs Colombia
Netherlands vs Argentina.

Hoepfully that prediction comes to fruition.


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